As the 2014 election
nears, let us take a bird’s-eye view of the course of our history. The 2014
election is important not only because it signifies a power shift in
government, but also because it serves as momentum for the third wave of
Indonesian history.
The first wave
occurred from the 17th century to the mid-20th century, which I refer to as the
process of “becoming Indonesia”.
The second wave took
place between proclamation of our independence in 1945 and today, as we have
dealt with the issue of “becoming a modern nation-state”. From 2014 onward, we
will enter a new wave in history, in which we will face entirely new challenges
in amid a different environment.
The first wave in
Indonesian history lasted around 300 years. After the integration of the
colonies, which were referred to as the East Indies or Dutch East Indies, the
name Indonesia evolved to become a political economic notion.
After a long history
of struggle and suffering, the Indonesian people realized that imperialism
could not be conquered by the divided power of the small kingdoms and many
ethnic groups that existed. The only way forward was to merge all the
primordial nodes into one powerful force. It was then that the founding fathers
of this nation made a spectrum shift.
It was not easy to
pick one name to unify all the different ethnic groups, and the name Indonesia
was a symbol of agreement, born from willingness and solidarity, as a result of
a long history.
After the declaration
of independence, Indonesia faced the challenge of finding a compatible system
that was relevant with its history and culture. To become a modern nation, we
needed a modern constitution, strong state institutions and culture of democracy.
For nearly 70 years,
we have been debating the most suitable ideology, political, economic and
government system for our country. This struggle to identify the right systems
was the zeitgeist that stretched all the way through the Old Order, New Order
until the Reform era.
This is also the
reason behind the episodes of heated argument between various ideologies of
Islam, nationalism, socialism and many others that we went through as a nation.
We have survived long and tiring discussions over the relationship between
religion and state and over the right economic system to implement.
Unfortunately, all
these struggles were like a pendulum that swung from one extreme point to
another. The New Order came as an antithesis of the Old Order. In this era we
had found for ourselves a strong state institution but at the expense of
freedom and liberty of the people. This was the core of the criticism aimed at
the reform movement.
The Reform era
brought a new equilibrium for Indonesia. It became the synthesis of the Old and
New Orders, in which we have successfully attained balance.
First, the balance of
the relationship between state and religion. We have finally met a consensus
that we can use the Islamic principles within the nation, as we can put
Pancasila as an open stage for different identities.
Second, we start to
find a balance between the freedom and welfare of people. Even though we have
not reached the ideal standard yet, we can safely say that we are getting
there.
Third, we have also
found some balance between democracy and development; between freedom and
security; between state autonomy and national integration.
We have managed to
surpass the existential challenge as a nation-state and transformed ourselves
from a vulnerable country with a history of rebellion and conflict into a
strong nation-state ready to face the new historical wave.
At the moment, we are
entering the third wave of Indonesia history, with different main driver of
change. Before we have had to deal with external challenges (i.e. imperialism,
the Cold War), now we have to deal with a new set of internal drivers of
change, which is the significant change in our demographic composition.
The ultimate change
is due to the emergence of new middle class. This group will make up 60 percent
of the total population. It has recently become “the new majority” in
Indonesia. Economists and demography experts refer to them as “demographic
bonus” or the “demographic dividend”.
The political
challenge that will soon arise will be the urgent need for new categorizations
not based on ideology to represent this new group. Old political polarizations,
especially the ideological polarization of Islam versus nationalism, is no
longer relevant. We have to define “the next Indonesia”.
The strengthening of
this new middle class has impacted massively on social structures as well as
improving the bargaining power of the civil society vis-a-vis the state.
Moreover, this new middle class will gain more confidence as the world economy
starts to move toward Asian territory.
We are now also
witnessing the birth of native democracy generation, a generation that has only
experienced democracy. They did not go through the New Order into the Reform
era. They perceive democracy as something that is given and not something that
is achieved through bloody struggles. Furthermore, for this group, the chaotic
state of our political landscape right now could feed into a sense of apathy
toward democracy.
As this new wave is
driven by the demographic changes, therefore, orientation toward humanity as
the pinnacle. There should no more divergence among the state and the civil
society. The state should go back to its core definition as a social
organization to create order. Social consolidation will help grow communities.
The state is then put
to the test of capacity: Can the state successfully deliver its role? The state
authority is no longer relevant if its capacity to function does not meet the
expectancy of this new majority. Hence, I believe, to address this issue we
would need a new leadership approach.
The 2014 election
will not only accommodate the shift in power, but also the incoming shift of
this new historical wave. A shift in power is not uncommon in democracy.
However, what is more
pressing and important right now is to understand what this means to us as a
nation. That is, what I believe, we must really dig into and discuss right now.
– The Jakarta Post, November 20, 2013.
* The writer is president of
the Prosperous Justice Party (PKS).
http://www.anismatta.net/2013/11/20/welcoming-the-third-wave-of-indonesian-history/